Kesiapan Transformasi Digital dalam Manajemen Pemilihan: Penilaian Metode Campuran atas Adopsi Inovasi E-Voting dalam Konteks Konvergensi Industri

Panji kuncoro, Pribanus Wantara, Muh Syarif, Wahyudi Agustiono

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Penelitian ini mengkaji kesiapan manajemen adopsi e-voting dalam konteks transformasi industri digital, menggunakan desain metode campuran sekuensial eksplanatori. Fase kuantitatif melibatkan 215 responden yang diambil dari pejabat penyelenggara pemilihan menggunakan rumus Slovin dengan margin kesalahan 6,7% dari estimasi populasi terjangkau sebesar 4.800 personel, sementara fase kualitatif melibatkan 12 informan kunci yang dipilih secara purposif. Berlandaskan Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), Teori Difusi Inovasi (DOI), dan Teori Kapabilitas Dinamis (DCT), penelitian ini mengembangkan Model Kesiapan Manajemen E-Voting Terpadu (IEVMR) sebagai kontribusi teoritis utama. Hasil kuantitatif menunjukkan bahwa kesiapan infrastruktur teknologi (β=0,412), kompetensi sumber daya manusia (β=0,356), dan kepemimpinan kebijakan (β=0,287) merupakan prediktor signifikan kesiapan manajemen e-voting (R²=0,673; p<0,001). Temuan kualitatif mengungkap tiga tema kritis: resistensi institusional struktural, kesenjangan digital desa-kota, dan kapasitas kepemimpinan transformasional. Kebaruan penelitian ini mencakup: (1) integrasi tiga grand theory ke dalam satu kerangka prediktif; (2) identifikasi Kapasitas Manajemen Perubahan sebagai mekanisme mediasi; dan (3) efek moderasi Literasi Digital Komprehensif, yang keduanya belum pernah diteliti dalam konteks kepemiluan digital Indonesia.

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.37531/mirai.v11i2.12184

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