Peran Emas Sebagai Hedge Atau Safe Haven Terhadap Saham Pada Periode Sebelum Dan Selama Covid-19 Di Indonesia

Imam Indra Permana, Irene Rini Demi Pangestuti

Abstract


Abstrak
Penelitian ini menguji tentang peran emas terhadap portofolio saham di Indonesia dari Juni 2019 hingga November 2020 (periode sebelum dan selama COVID-19) dengan menggunakan metode Stochastic Dominance (SD). Metode Stochastic Dominance digunakan untuk menguji bahwa portofolio saham dan emas mampu mendominasi secara stokastik portofolio saham. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa portofolio saham dan emas mendominasi secara stokastik terhadap portofolio saham pada second order (SSD) dan third order (TSD) selama periode penelitian. Portofolio saham dan emas mendominasi pada keseluruhan persentase kepemilikan emas (5% hingga 50%). Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa emas mampu berperan sebagai hedge atau safe haven terhadap portfolio saham pada periode sebelum dan selama COVID-19 di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menyarankan bahwa investor sebaiknya memasukkan emas pada portofolio saham mereka untuk membentuk portofolio optimal sehingga mampu memaksimalkan imbal hasil dan meminimalisir risiko.
Kata Kunci: Emas, Saham, Stochastic Dominance, Hedge, Safe Haven
Abstract
This research examines the role of gold on stock portfolios in Indonesia from June 2019 to November 2020 (before and during COVID-19 period) using Stochastic Dominance (SD) method. Stochastic Dominance method is used to test that gold-stock portfolio does dominate stock portfolio. The results show that gold-stock portfolio stochastically dominates stock portfolio at second order (SSD) and third order (TSD) during research period. Gold-stock portfolio dominates at all percentage holdings of gold (5% to 50%). This indicates that gold is able to act as a hedge or safe haven for stock portfolio in before and during COVID-19 period in Indonesia. This research suggests that investors should include gold in their stock portfolio to design optimal portfolio so as to maximazing returns and minimizing returns.
Keywords: Gold, Stocks, Stochastic Dominance, Hedge, Safe Haven

Full Text:

Download PDF

References


Alali, M. S. (2020). SAFE HAVEN ASSETS: ARE THEY STILL SAFE DURING COVID-19 PANDEMIC PERIOD? European Journal of Economic and Financial Research, 91–98. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3777255

Alkhazali, O. M., & Zoubi, T. A. (2020). Gold and portfolio diversification: A stochastic dominance analysis of the Dow Jones Islamic indices. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 60(June 2019), 101264. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2020.101264

Baur, D. G., & Lucey, B. M. (2010). Is gold a hedge or a safe haven? An analysis of stocks, bonds and gold. Financial Review, 45(2), 217–229. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6288.2010.00244.x

Billah, N. A., & Hartomo, D. D. (2018). Korelasi dinamis emas dan saham syariah sebagai lindung nilai dan safe haven pada investasi di Indonesia. Jurnal Bisnis dan Manajemen, 18(2), 67–86.

Chiang, S.-M., Lin, C.-T., & Huang, C.-M. (2013). The Relationships Among Stocks, Bonds and Gold : Safe Haven, Hedge or Neither? International Conference on Technology Innovation and Industrial Management, 29–31.

Chkili, W. (2016). Dynamic correlations and hedging effectiveness between gold and stock markets: Evidence for BRICS countries. Research in International Business and Finance, 38, 22–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.03.005

Choudhry, T., Hassan, S. S., & Shabi, S. (2015). Relationship between gold and stock markets during the global financial crisis: Evidence from nonlinear causality tests. International Review of Financial Analysis, 41, 247–256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2015.03.011

Ciner, C., Gurdgiev, C., & Lucey, B. M. (2013). Hedges and safe havens: An examination of stocks, bonds, gold, oil and exchange rates. International Review of Financial Analysis, 29, 202–211. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2012.12.001

Daskalaki, C., Skiadopoulos, G., & Topaloglou, N. (2017). Diversification benefits of commodities: A stochastic dominance efficiency approach. Journal of Empirical Finance, 44, 250–269. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2017.07.004

Fong, W. M., Wong, W. K., & Lean, H. H. (2005). International momentum strategies: A stochastic dominance approach. Journal of Financial Markets, 8(1), 89–109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2004.08.001

Gürgün, G., & Ünalmiş, I. (2014). Is gold a safe haven against equity market investment in emerging and developing countries? Finance Research Letters, 11(4), 341–348. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2014.07.003

Harry Markowitz. (1952). American Finance Association Portfolio Selection Author ( s ): Harry Markowitz Source : The Journal of Finance , Vol . 7 , No . 1 ( Mar ., 1952 ), pp . 77-91 Published by : Wiley for the American Finance Association Stable URL : http://www.jstor.org/stabl. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77–91.

Hoang, T. H. Van, Lean, H. H., & Wong, W. K. (2015). Is gold good for portfolio diversification? A stochastic dominance analysis of the Paris stock exchange. International Review of Financial Analysis, 42(1467200501), 98–108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2014.11.020

Hood, M., & Malik, F. (2013). Is gold the best hedge and a safe haven under changing stock market volatility? Review of Financial Economics, 22(2), 47–52. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rfe.2013.03.001

Iqbal, J. (2017). Does gold hedge stock market, inflation and exchange rate risks? An econometric investigation. International Review of Economics and Finance, 48(November 2016), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2016.11.005

Kumar, D. (2014). Return and volatility transmission between gold and stock sectors: Application of portfolio management and hedging effectiveness. IIMB Management Review, 26(1), 5–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iimb.2013.12.002

Levi, K. (2010). Transfer of Innovation „ Development and Approbation of Applied Courses Based on the Transfer of Teaching Innovations in Finance and Management for Further Education of Entrepreneurs and Specialists in Latvia , Lithuania and Bulgaria ”. Education and Culture Lifelong Learning Programme, 1–166. Diambil dari http://www.bcci.bg/projects/latvia/pdf/8_IAPM_final.pdf

Puryandani, S., & Robiyanto, R. (2019). Gold: Hedge, Safe Haven or Diversifier for Indonesian Capital Market. Fokus Ekonomi : Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, 14(2), 226–239. https://doi.org/10.34152/fe.14.2.226-239

Robiyanto, R. (2018). DCC-GARCH Application in Formulating Dynamic Portfolio between Stocks in the Indonesia Stock Exchange with Gold. 10(August 2017), 13–23.

Sherman, E. (1982). Gold: A conservative, prudent diversifier. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 8(3), 21–27. https://doi.org/10.3905/jpm.1982.408850

Yuliana, A. F., & Robiyanto. (2019). PERAN EMAS SEBAGAI SAFE HAVEN BAGI SAHAM PERTAMBANGAN DI INDONESIA PADA PERIODE PANDEMI COVID-19. Jurnal Ilmiah Bisnis dan Ekonomi Asia, 15, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.32815/jibeka.v15i1.217




DOI: https://doi.org/10.37531/sejaman.v4i1.1179

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Flag Counter

Creative Commons License

S E I K O : Journal of Management & Business is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
 
© All rights reserved 2018. S E I K O : Journal of Management & Business - ISSN (Print) : 2598-831X, ISSN (Online) : 2598-8301.
 

Web
Analytics